Mid-Year Outlook 2018: The Plot Thickens

Presenting the LPL Research Midyear Outlook 2018: The Plot Thickens, packed with investment insights and market analysis to guide you through all the action we may see in the year ahead.

When we as investors began 2018, we were tuned in to the recent fiscal policy changes that were expected to propel economic activity and the financial markets higher in the coming year. The handoff in leadership from monetary policy to fiscal policy was well underway as a driver of consumer spending, business investment, and corporate profits. Instead of depending on the Federal Reserve (Fed) to move this expansion forward, fiscal incentives are now critical for continued growth, with the new tax law taking the lead.

Although we expect continued growth, there is also the potential for greater market sensitivity due to the late cycle concerns that can emerge when the economy is doing well. So indeed, the plot has thickened. But that doesn’t mean we’ve taken a turn for the worse. The underlying forces are still forging ahead and this expansion and bull market have not been defeated. Right now, there are many positive fundamentals, like business investment and corporate profits, supporting economic growth and potential market gains.

Armed with the investment insights of LPL Research’s Midyear Outlook 2018, and supported by the guidance of a trusted financial advisor, we expect investors can remain optimistic about what’s ahead for their investment portfolios. Read more about our forecasts and key themes to watch in the full publication. This guidance and investment insight can benefit investors in their search for long-term success. Download your copy today!

Outlook 2018: Return of the Business Cycle

The LPL Research team proudly presents Outlook 2018: Return of the Business Cycle, highlighting the opportunities and potential challenges that may lie ahead for market participants as we get back to the traditional drivers that we’d expect to push the economy and markets forward. Instead of relying on central bank intervention and accommodative monetary policy, we’re turning to some new lead characters to take charge, namely fiscal policy and better business fundamentals. The supporting roles of this new environment will also be key to sustaining economic growth and delivering stock gains.

Mid-Year Outlook 2017 – A Shift in Market Control

Mid-Year Outlook 2017

The LPL Research team proudly presents Midyear Outlook 2017: A Shift In Market Control. Thus far in 2017, an important shift has taken place in this economic cycle. The Federal Reserve has shown increasing trust that the economy has recovered and that market forces can keep it steady. The gauges say growth engines and market drivers may have changed: power down monetary policy, power up business fundamentals, and potentially take fiscal policy and economic growth off standby.

Steve Booren

Steve Booren

Steve started his investment career in 1978 with the NYSE investment firm EF Hutton, working in the environment of a large investment company. Desiring to provide clients with objective investment advice, he founded Prosperion Financial Advisors. Learn more about Steve here.

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Outlook 2016: Embrace the Routine

LPL Financial Outlook 2016

LPL Research expects to see routine year-end outcomes in many areas of the economy and financial markets in 2016, but how we get there may be anything but routine. Certain conditions have been unusual for so long, that 2016 may hold some unexpected turns that could catch some investors unprepared, and it will take a solid investment plan to navigate it.

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Facing Volatility

Over the last few years, we have faced a variety of challenges in the market. Times of stress spark the need for discussion, reassurance, and often, historical context. In 2013, we started the year worried about the impending fiscal cliff, and later watched as the market had its “taper tantrum” over uncertainty regarding the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) actions. In 2014, the focus was on the harsh winter’s impact on the economy, and the market sell-off due to the Ebola outbreak and rise of the Islamic State militants. And last year, second-half fears triggered by the decline in oil prices, weakness in manufacturing, and a slowdown in China captured our attention.

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David Morrison

David Morrison

David uses Values Based Financial Planning to align your financial choices with your most important goals and your most deeply held values. He has a comprehensive process to consolidate, coordinate and simplify your financial life in a way that brings you more confidence and clarity about your future. Learn more about David here.

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Mid-Year Outlook 2015: Some Assembly Required

Few things can dampen the excitement of seeing the delivery of a long awaited package on the porch than three words — “some assembly required.” Whether it is navigating the confusing instruction manual, sweating through the complicated assortment of parts, or the sinking feeling that you don’t have the right batteries in the closet, sometimes the hard work comes after the delivery truck has driven off. And like any complex assembly, whether it’s a 1,000-piece puzzle, a kid’s shiny new bike, or a plan to navigate tricky economic times, the amount of pieces to collect and put together can be daunting. But the assembly can certainly be made easier with a well-formulated plan, the right tools, and the LPL Research Midyear Outlook 2015: Some Assembly Required as the blueprint for success.

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Outlook 2015: In Transit

Since the wind-down of the Great Recession in early 2009, the latest economic expansion has certainly delivered the goods and rewarded investors’ mailboxes with six consecutive calendar years of positive gains for stocks. “Neither snow nor rain nor heat nor gloom of night” has kept a lid on the continuation of one of history’s greatest bull market advances for stocks, and LPL FinancialResearch believes this trend of rising equity prices may continue in 2015.

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Mid-Year Outlook 2014 – LPL Financial

At this year’s halfway point, we offer the LPL Financial Research Mid-Year Outlook 2014: Investor’s Almanac Field Notes containing key observations and updates to our outlook for 2014. Similar to a farming almanac, our Investor’s Almanac is a publication containing a guide to patterns, tendencies, and seasonal observations important to growing. The goal of farming is not merely to grow crops, but to sustain living things – investing shares the same goal.

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Back to Basics – 5 Investing Principles

If January taught us anything, it was that 2013 was truly an exceptional year for the equity market averages. Falling uncertainty, solid corporate earnings, and a rebounding economy all contributed to rising stock prices and exceptional performances for many portfolios. But as we’ve seen so far this year, 2014 could be more difficult. With that in mind, I think it’s a good time to return to basic investing principles, five of which I’ve outlined below.

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Steve Booren

Steve Booren

Steve started his investment career in 1978 with the NYSE investment firm EF Hutton, working in the environment of a large investment company. Desiring to provide clients with objective investment advice, he founded Prosperion Financial Advisors. Learn more about Steve here.

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LinkedInYouTube

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Mutual Fund Capital Gains Distributions: Frequently Asked Questions

In December of last year, many mutual funds made end-of-year capital gains distributions for the first time in several years.

Since investors have grown less accustomed to capital gains distributions, the distributions differ from the dividend or interest income investors usually receive, and capital gains distributions are specific to the special legal structure of mutual funds, investors may have questions about the distributions and their tax implications. To help answer these questions, LPL Financial Research has put together this guide to some frequently asked questions.

Keep in mind that the tax circumstances for every individual are unique. Please consult a tax expert for the implications of capital gains distributions for any individual investor. 

To read the full pdf, click here.